Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Cerro del Espino (Majadahonda)


	Rayo Majadahonda		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.2	2.4	Watch
				Watch
	3.05	2.72	2.52
	3.10	2.87	2.48	Watch
	3	2.99	2.51	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.78)	2.98 ↓ (3.14)	2.47 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
31.3%

Draw
31.2%

Talavera de la Reina
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

29.2%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

29.5%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Rayo Majadahonda - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rayo Majadahonda will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Talavera will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Majadahonda (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Rayo Majadahonda (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Majadahonda (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Josan (G) 15. Acosta M. 4. Ramos D. (C) 26. Tejedor J. 23. Duran J. 10. Plomer D. 17. San Jose K. 21. Fernandez A. B. 6. Vidal D. 9. Faure I. 14. Yoshimura Y.	1. Gonzalez J. (G) 22. Rodriguez F. 4. Maksimovic N. 23. Farrando M. 2. Cuenca D. 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. (C) 6. Pitu 18. Capo P. 15. Arroyo N. 21. Montero Sergio 7. Di Renzo G.
Substitutes
8. Amaro A. 20. Carmona S. 27. Gordo J. 16. Martin J. 7. Noguera A. 11. Prats P. 28. Ramos I. 29. Sall C. 25. Veinovich S.	10. Ayllon I. 19. Gomez V. 14. Molina A. 5. Molina S. 9. Moreno M. 16. Navarro I. 17. Ouacharaf B. 13. Rocafort R. (G) 3. Roig A. 8. Sanchez L. 32. Torres A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', Yoshimura Y. 🟥,
24', 0 - 1, Farrando M. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Di Renzo G. ⚽,
45', Tejedor J. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
45', San Jose K. ↓, Noguera A. ↑,
45', Fernandez A. B. ↓, Prats P. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 2, Vidal D. ⚽, Prats P. (A),
61', Gallardo Rodriguez E. ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
61', Lopez A. ↓, Molina S. ↑,
66', 1 - 3, Pitu ⚽,
77', Di Renzo G. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
81', 1 - 4, Moreno M. ⚽, Arroyo N. (A),
83', Capo P. ↓, Ayllon I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Majadahonda won 3.

Rayo Majadahonda is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Talavera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rayo Majadahonda won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Majadahonda won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.10.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Elche Ilicitano	4:2 ✺
19.10.25	Socuéllamos - Rayo Majadahonda	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Coria	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Getafe B - Rayo Majadahonda	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Rayo Majadahonda - San Sebastian Reyes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTLW
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.10.25	Talavera de la Reina - Osasuna B	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Real Avilés - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Talavera de la Reina - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Pontevedra - Talavera de la Reina	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Talavera de la Reina - Lugo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.03.25	Talavera de la Reina - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1
10.11.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Talavera de la Reina	0:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.02.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Talavera de la Reina	2:1
15.10.22	Talavera de la Reina - Rayo Majadahonda	0:2
10.04.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Talavera de la Reina	1:2
28.11.21	Talavera de la Reina - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0
Club Friendly
10.08.19	Talavera de la Reina - Rayo Majadahonda	1:1

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