Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 3

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Pinilla (Teruel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Teruel		Real Jaén

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.15
	3.10	3.00	2.15
	3.15	3.1	2.18
	3.27	3.05	2.25
	3.25	3.14	2.25	Watch
	3.2	2.85	2.2
	3.25	2.95	2.21
	3.05	3.05	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (4.15)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)	2.19 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teruel
28.7%

Draw
29.8%

Real Jaén
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

29.1%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

29.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teruel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Teruel's performance.

Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Jaén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Teruel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Jaén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Teruel - Real Jaén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Zarco A. (G) 2. Borge A. 15. Lopez A. 14. Relu (C) 3. de Diego J. 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. 16. Albisua H. 8. Romera M. 21. Sese M. 9. Moraitis P. 7. Moreno S.	1. Morillas J. (G) 21. Sanhaji M. 6. Alvarez J. 24. Perez A. 3. Serrano D. 10. Adri P. 8. Caballero A. 16. Chino 18. Castillo N. 11. Martos M. (C) 9. Siverio M.
Substitutes
18. Belevonis C. 24. Boriko S. 4. Felipe P. 5. Goyo Medina 28. Igual C. 22. Llacer L. 6. Nicholas N. 1. Palop A. (G) 10. Redon H.	13. Carrasco S. (G) 25. Fall S. 7. Gallego F. 2. Gomez D. 22. Lozano O. 5. Marquez D. 12. Pehlivanov C. 14. Polo C. 23. Rodriguez D. 15. Senhadji Y.
Coaches
Ramirez Kiko	Herrero M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Relu 🟨,
12', Sanhaji M. 🟨,
33', Adri P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Caballero A. 🟨,
57', Adri P. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
57', Castillo N. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Siverio M. ⚽, Chino (A),
64', Moraitis P. ↓, Nicholas N. ↑,
64', Borge A. ↓, Llacer L. ↑,
70', Romera M. ↓, Redon H. ↑,
79', Sese M. ↓, Boriko S. ↑,
79', Relu ↓, Belevonis C. ↑,
83', Martos M. ↓, Gallego F. ↑,
83', Chino ↓, Polo C. ↑,
87', Rodriguez D. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Jaen	6	3	2	1	8:5	3	11
19	Teruel	6	0	2	4	2:12	-10	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Teruel
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.09.26	Real Murcia - Teruel	4:0 ✺
31.08.26	Teruel - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	Teruel - Villarreal B	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Valencia - Teruel	0:1 ✺
04.08.26	Teruel - Levante B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLWW
- Real Jaén
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.09.26	Real Jaén - Huesca	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	CE Europa - Real Jaén	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.26	Real Jaén - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Linares Deportivo - Real Jaén	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Cacereño - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLWT

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