Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 37

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Rayo Majadahonda		Unionistas de Salamanca

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.2	3	2.05
	3.4	3.25	2.1
	3.45	3.26	2.2
	3.28	3.26	2.2
	3.23	3.23	2.16
	3.2	3.15	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.76)	3.18 ↓ (3.33)	2.13 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
28.1%

Draw
28.9%

Unionistas de Salamanca
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

27.4%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

26.5%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unionistas de Salamanca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unionistas de Salamanca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rayo Majadahonda - Unionistas de Salamanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 2. Ceballos D. 15. Hermoso K. 34. Dias J. 17. Ro 37. Exposito S. 18. Tavares R. 12. Navarro S. 40. Pascual P. 19. Fernandez A. 14. Hervias P.	1. Martinez I. (G) 22. Gimenez C. 4. Mayor R. 5. Ruiz E. 15. Jimenez E. 20. Tur J. A. 16. Gomez A. 11. Gomez A. 7. Losada M. 3. Rojo J. 9. Slavy
Substitutes
38. Aaron 23. Camacho S. 9. Cortes J. 7. Enri R. 20. Garcia S. 44. Gordo J. 36. Guille B. 16. Nakai T. 10. Perez P. 43. Redondo I. 42. Tejedor J. 33. Yague H. L.	13. Cacharron P. (G) 2. Camus S. 24. de Bustos H. 19. Etxaniz J. 8. Hector 10. Nieto D. 27. Parra H. G. 17. Rastrojo J. 23. Serrano J. 21. Teijeira A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Tavares R. 🟨,
41', Ro 🟨,
42', Losada M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Losada M. ↓, Rastrojo J. ↑,
46', Jimenez E. ↓, Serrano J. ↑,
46', Gimenez C. ↓, Camus S. ↑,
46', Ro ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
64', Slavy ↓, Etxaniz J. ↑,
66', Pascual P. ↓, Enri R. ↑,
66', Hervias P. ↓, Nakai T. ↑,
74', Fernandez A. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
76', Gomez A. ↓, Hector ↑,
78', Dias J. 🟨,
81', Exposito S. ↓, Guille B. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Rayo Majadahonda is Relegated to

Recent matches Rayo Majadahonda is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Unionistas is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Unionistas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Majadahonda won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Majadahonda won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.05.24	Celta de Vigo B - Rayo Majadahonda	3:0 ✺
05.05.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Osasuna B	2:2 ✺
27.04.24	Lugo - Rayo Majadahonda	3:1 ✺
20.04.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Tarazona	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Fuenlabrada - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LTLTW
- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.05.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Teruel - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Sabadell	4:0 ✺
21.04.24	Real Unión de Irun - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:1 ✺
14.04.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Barcelona B	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.01.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1
28.01.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0
01.10.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1
26.03.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:3
23.01.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1

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