Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Unión de Irun		Unionistas de Salamanca

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.75
	2.37	2.95	2.75
	2.41	2.9	2.85
	2.62	3.1	2.8
	2.52	2.99	2.8	Watch
	2.55	2.91	2.99
	2.41	2.9	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (1.99)	2.94 ↓ (3.29)	2.83 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
36.6%

Draw
31.1%

Unionistas de Salamanca
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

27.5%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

26.9%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Unión de Irun's form might have worsened.

Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unionistas de Salamanca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Unión de Irun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unionistas de Salamanca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Unión de Irun - Unionistas de Salamanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wright J. (G) 19. Eimil V. 5. Dominguez J. 4. Olaortua I. 6. Quintana A. 3. Carlos J. 21. San Bartolome V. 8. Bilbao I. 16. Vidorreta A. 20. Sergio Benito 7. Aranzabe A.	1. Martinez I. (G) 23. Pascual A. 4. Mayor R. 3. Garcia C. 26. Garcia M. 11. Gomez A. 20. Tur J. A. 14. Chuca 19. Arriba J. 22. Santamaria G. 10. de la Nava C.
Substitutes
17. Cayarga B. 22. Garrido D. 24. Munroe F. 11. Obieta K. 25. Perez C. (G) 18. Puig J. 10. Rivero Q. 1. Txusta (G)	17. Garcia D. 18. Garcia P. 16. Gonzalez I. 8. Martinez P. 9. Moreno I. 24. Ortuno F. 6. Rabadan D. 7. Rastrojo J. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G)
Coaches
Carbo A.	Llacer D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', Vidorreta A. 🟨,
4', Santamaria G. (Pen),
4', 0 - 1, Tur J. A. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Dominguez J. ⚽,
11', Garcia C. 🟨,
24', 1 - 2, Santamaria G. ⚽,
27', Garcia M. 🟨,
34', Garcia C. 🟨,
35', Pascual A. 🟨,
36', Tur J. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 2, Carlos J. ⚽,
56', Santamaria G. ↓, Ortuno F. ↑,
56', Tur J. A. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
56', Pascual A. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
68', Chuca ↓, Rabadan D. ↑,
68', de la Nava C. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
69', Olaortua I. ↓, Puig J. ↑,
69', Quintana A. ↓, Munroe F. ↑,
69', Carlos J. ↓, Obieta K. ↑,
78', Bilbao I. ↓, Rivero Q. ↑,
78', Aranzabe A. ↓, Garrido D. ↑,
81', Martinez I. 🟨,
84', 3 - 2, Rivero Q. (Pen),
88', 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Unión won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Real Unión could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Real Unión won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Unión won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.02.25	Barakaldo - Real Unión de Irun	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástica Segoviana	5:0 ✺
17.01.25	Sestao - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Real Unión de Irun - Zamora	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Real Unión de Irun - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWWLL
- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.02.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Leonesa - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:3 ✺
19.01.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Tarazona - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.11.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Unión de Irun	4:1
21.04.24	Real Unión de Irun - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:1
01.10.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Unión de Irun	1:0
24.04.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Unión de Irun	2:1
13.11.21	Real Unión de Irun - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.11.19	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Unión de Irun	0:2

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