Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 34

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Anxo Carro (Lugo)


	Lugo		Rayo Majadahonda

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.2	5
	1.66	3.3	4.6
	1.7	3.4	5
	1.75	3.69	5
	1.75	3.69	4.49
	1.74	3.41	4.73
	1.67	3.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.69)	3.43 ↑ (3.31)	4.83 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
54%

Draw
26.9%

Rayo Majadahonda
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

27.6%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

26.9%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Rayo Majadahonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Lugo - Rayo Majadahonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz Parcero L. (G) 12. Louis-Jean J. 5. Bernardo 14. Morgado C. 22. Lopez A. 9. Quintana Nacho 8. Aguza S. 20. Ojeda T. 18. Jozabed 21. da Costa M. 7. Ledesma L.	1. Martin D. (G) 2. Ceballos D. 15. Hermoso K. 34. Dias J. 23. Camacho S. 21. Reguera F. 18. Tavares R. 12. Navarro S. 19. Fernandez A. 20. Garcia S. 7. Enri R.
Substitutes
23. Antonetti L. 11. Antonin 10. Aranda A. 35. Embadje F. 19. Fuentes A. 27. Gonzalez J. 30. Lizancos A. 15. Narro V. 4. Perez G. . Rubal P.	6. Arnedo A. 9. Cortes J. 37. Exposito S. 14. Hervias P. 11. Martinez J. 16. Nakai P. 10. Perez P. 41. Romero A. (G) 42. Tejedor J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Quintana Nacho 🟨,
32', Garcia S. 🟥,
35', Lopez A. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Jozabed ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Reguera F. ↓, Exposito S. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Hermoso K. ⚽,
62', Ojeda T. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
70', Quintana Nacho ↓, Aranda A. ↑,
70', Ledesma L. ↓, Antonin ↑,
70', da Costa M. ↓, Antonetti L. ↑,
72', Enri R. ↓, Hervias P. ↑,
77', Hermoso K. 🟨,
77', Bernardo ↓, Perez G. ↑,
78', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Aranda A. ⚽,
90+5', Camacho S. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 1, Antonetti L. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Lugo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lugo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.04.24	Barcelona B - Lugo	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Celta de Vigo B - Lugo	4:1 ✺
07.04.24	Lugo - Tarazona	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Leonesa - Lugo	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Lugo - Sestao	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW
- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.04.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Tarazona	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Fuenlabrada - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Sestao - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.10.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Lugo	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
26.01.19	Lugo - Rayo Majadahonda	3:2
10.09.18	Rayo Majadahonda - Lugo	1:0

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