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Current Win Probability
Rayo Vallecano 39.5%
Draw 26.3%
Athletic Bilbao B 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
24.3%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.8%
23.9%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayo Vallecano's form might have worsened.
Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Bilbao B's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Rayo Vallecano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Rayo Vallecano will have a small advantage in this match.