Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 27

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Canillas		Collado Villalba

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	2.01	3.65	3.05
				Watch
	3.33	3.22	2.18
	2.01	3.65	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (1.77)	3.41 ↓ (3.73)	2.61 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canillas
36.4%

Draw
27.6%

Collado Villalba
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

24.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

23.8%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canillas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canillas's form might have worsened.

Collado Villalba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Collado Villalba's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canillas than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canillas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collado Villalba than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Collado Villalba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Canillas - Collado Villalba Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Canillas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Collado Villalba will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', Pitu 🟥,
76', Acosta T. 🟥,
90+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Canillas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Canillas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:3 (average 0.8:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Canillas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Canillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.03.25	Galapagar - Canillas	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Canillas - Trival Valderas	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Aravaca - Canillas	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Canillas - México	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Parla - Canillas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTWLW
- CU Collado Villalba
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.03.25	Collado Villalba - Alcorcón B	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Torrejón - Collado Villalba	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Collado Villalba - Alcalá	3:2 ✺
23.02.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Collado Villalba	3:2 ✺
16.02.25	Collado Villalba - Leganés B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.11.24	Collado Villalba - Canillas	0:0
14.04.24	Canillas - Collado Villalba	2:0
26.11.23	Collado Villalba - Canillas	0:1
05.03.23	Collado Villalba - Canillas	2:1
30.10.22	Canillas - Collado Villalba	0:1

Canillas - Collado Villalba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide