Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Tres Cantos		Canillas

	1	X	2
	1.64	3.6	4.7
	1.61	3.6	5.02
	1.64	3.6	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.62)	3.6 (3.6)	4.81 ↓ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tres Cantos
55.8%

Draw
25.3%

Canillas
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.3%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

18.8%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tres Cantos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Canillas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tres Cantos than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tres Cantos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canillas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canillas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tres Cantos - Canillas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, ⚽,
61', 2 - 0, ⚽,
82', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Tres Cantos is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tres Cantos won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Tres Cantos won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDF Tres Cantos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.04.25	Alcorcón B - Tres Cantos	3:0 ✺
30.03.25	Tres Cantos - Torrejón	3:3 ✺
23.03.25	Alcalá - Tres Cantos	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Tres Cantos - Rayo Vallecano B	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Leganés B - Tres Cantos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTLWL
- CD Canillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.04.25	Canillas - Carabanchel	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	El Álamo - Canillas	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Canillas - Collado Villalba	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Galapagar - Canillas	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Canillas - Trival Valderas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.12.24	Canillas - Tres Cantos	1:1
28.01.24	Tres Cantos - Canillas	1:0
10.09.23	Canillas - Tres Cantos	1:4
14.04.19	Tres Cantos - Canillas	2:0
25.11.18	Canillas - Tres Cantos	2:1

Tres Cantos - Canillas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide