Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Rayo Vallecano B		Colonia Moscardó

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.25
	2.82	3.15	2.28
	3.02	3.28	2.29
	2.24	3.17	3.03	Watch
	2.86	3.24	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.24)	3.19 ↑ (3.17)	2.44 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano B
33.3%

Draw
28.9%

Colonia Moscardó
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.9%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.6%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayo Vallecano B's form might have worsened.

Colonia Moscardó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colonia Moscardó's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colonia Moscardó, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rayo Vallecano B - Colonia Moscardó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 1, Torres P. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Colonia Moscardó - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.23%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.10.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Rayo Vallecano B	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Fuenlabrada - Rayo Vallecano B	5:0 ✺
20.09.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Real Madrid C	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Navalcarnero - Rayo Vallecano B	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Coria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WLWLW
- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.10.25	Colonia Moscardó - Conquense	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Colonia Moscardó - San Sebastian Reyes	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Coria - Colonia Moscardó	5:0 ✺
20.09.25	Colonia Moscardó - Alcalá	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Socuéllamos - Colonia Moscardó	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.04.24	Colonia Moscardó - Rayo Vallecano B	3:2
03.12.23	Rayo Vallecano B - Colonia Moscardó	0:2
05.03.22	Rayo Vallecano B - Colonia Moscardó	4:0
07.11.21	Colonia Moscardó - Rayo Vallecano B	0:2

Rayo Vallecano B - Colonia Moscardó: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide