Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Rayo Vallecano B		Colonia Moscardó

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.30	2.05
	2.55	3.10	2.30
	3.27	3.40	2.03
	3.13	3.53	2.06	Watch
	3.20	3.35	2.01
	3.07	3.42	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.55)	3.35 ↑ (3.1)	2.08 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano B
29.7%

Draw
26.9%

Colonia Moscardó
43.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.1%

28.1%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

27.2%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Colonia Moscardó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colonia Moscardó's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Rayo Vallecano B - Colonia Moscardó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Mena Mugica J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano B won 1.

Rayo Vallecano B is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Moscardó is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Moscardó could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Moscardó is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Rayo Vallecano B has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:10 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rayo Vallecano B against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:3 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Rayo Vallecano B	8	1	2	5	11:18	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
18.10.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - Rayo Vallecano B	4:3 ✺
11.10.26	Rayo Vallecano B - Trival Valderas	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Alcobendas - Rayo Vallecano B	4:2 ✺
27.09.26	Rayo Vallecano B - Galapagar	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Leganés B - Rayo Vallecano B	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL
- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
18.10.26	Colonia Moscardó - Las Rozas	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Real Aranjuez - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Colonia Moscardó - Pozuelo de Alarcón	5:1 ✺
27.09.26	Parla Escuela - Colonia Moscardó	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Colonia Moscardó - Siello	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.03.26	Colonia Moscardó - Rayo Vallecano B	4:0
19.10.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Colonia Moscardó	0:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.04.24	Colonia Moscardó - Rayo Vallecano B	3:2
03.12.23	Rayo Vallecano B - Colonia Moscardó	0:2
05.03.22	Rayo Vallecano B - Colonia Moscardó	4:0
07.11.21	Colonia Moscardó - Rayo Vallecano B	0:2

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