Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Rayo Vallecano B		Conquense

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.25	2.25
	2.88	3.1	2.25
	2.66	3.1	2.22
	2.89	3.24	2.28	Watch
	2.98	3.2	2.32
	2.92	3.15	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (2.93)	3.17 ↓ (3.25)	2.27 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano B
31.7%

Draw
28.5%

Conquense
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

28.1%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

27%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Rayo Vallecano B - Conquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 9).

Recent performances by Rayo Vallecano B have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Conquense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Rayo Vallecano B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Rayo Vallecano B - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.21%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.10.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Colonia Moscardó	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Rayo Vallecano B	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Fuenlabrada - Rayo Vallecano B	5:0 ✺
20.09.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Real Madrid C	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Navalcarnero - Rayo Vallecano B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWLWL
- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.10.25	Conquense - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Colonia Moscardó - Conquense	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Conquense - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Tenerife B - Conquense	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Conquense - Coria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.04.15	Rayo Vallecano B - Conquense	2:1
23.11.14	Conquense - Rayo Vallecano B	3:5

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