Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Colonia Moscardó		Conquense

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.63
	2.3	3.05	2.88
	2.48	3.25	2.78
	2.35	3.10	3.01	Watch
	2.4	3.13	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.29)	3.15 ↓ (3.29)	2.85 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colonia Moscardó
38.5%

Draw
29.2%

Conquense
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

27.6%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

27.7%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colonia Moscardó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Colonia Moscardó - Conquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Siverio Toro M. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Campos A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 2 - 1, Pena G. (Pen),
68', 2 - 2, Pena G. ⚽,

Preview

Moscardó has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Conquense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Conquense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Moscardó won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Moscardó won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.10.25	Colonia Moscardó - San Sebastian Reyes	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Coria - Colonia Moscardó	5:0 ✺
20.09.25	Colonia Moscardó - Alcalá	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Socuéllamos - Colonia Moscardó	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Colonia Moscardó - Real Madrid C	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTWL
- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.10.25	Conquense - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Tenerife B - Conquense	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Conquense - Coria	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Alcalá - Conquense	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Conquense - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.03.25	Conquense - Colonia Moscardó	2:1
19.10.24	Colonia Moscardó - Conquense	0:2

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