Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 25

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Rayo Vallecano B		Móstoles URJC

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.66
	4.26	3.36	1.72
	4.31	3.38	1.73
	4.56	3.54	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↓ (5.7)	3.45 ↓ (4.2)	1.7 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano B
20.8%

Draw
26.2%

Móstoles URJC
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

21.6%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

21.8%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Móstoles URJC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Móstoles URJC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano B won 1.

Rayo Vallecano B is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Móstoles URJC is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Móstoles URJC is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano B won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.03.24	Collado Villalba - Rayo Vallecano B	3:0 ✺
03.03.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Pozuelo de Alarcón	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Galapagar - Rayo Vallecano B	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Paracuellos Antamira	1:3 ✺
10.02.24	Leganés B - Rayo Vallecano B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTLL
- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.03.24	Móstoles URJC - Pozuelo de Alarcón	4:0 ✺
03.03.24	Paracuellos Antamira - Móstoles URJC	1:3 ✺
25.02.24	Móstoles URJC - Tres Cantos	3:1 ✺
18.02.24	Canillas - Móstoles URJC	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Móstoles URJC - Siello	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
29.10.23	Móstoles URJC - Rayo Vallecano B	2:0
29.01.23	Rayo Vallecano B - Móstoles URJC	0:1
25.09.22	Móstoles URJC - Rayo Vallecano B	1:1
09.05.21	Móstoles URJC - Rayo Vallecano B	4:0
18.04.21	Rayo Vallecano B - Móstoles URJC	1:0
08.03.20	Rayo Vallecano B - Móstoles URJC	2:2
20.10.19	Móstoles URJC - Rayo Vallecano B	0:3

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