Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Canillas		Móstoles URJC

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.3	1.68
	4.72	3.28	1.68
	4.77	3.4	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.7 ↑ (3.56)	3.33 ↑ (3.28)	1.68 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canillas
19.2%

Draw
27.1%

Móstoles URJC
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

27.8%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

26.8%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canillas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canillas's form might have worsened.

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Móstoles URJC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canillas than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canillas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Móstoles URJC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Canillas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Móstoles URJC in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Móstoles URJC will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Canillas won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Canillas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Canillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.02.24	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Canillas	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Canillas - Paracuellos Antamira	1:3 ✺
28.01.24	Tres Cantos - Canillas	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Canillas - Rayo Vallecano B	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Siello - Canillas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLLWW
- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.02.24	Móstoles URJC - Siello	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Colonia Moscardó - Móstoles URJC	1:4 ✺
28.01.24	Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas	3:1 ✺
21.01.24	Móstoles URJC - Las Rozas	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Collado Villalba - Móstoles URJC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.10.23	Móstoles URJC - Canillas	0:0
12.03.23	Canillas - Móstoles URJC	1:1
06.11.22	Móstoles URJC - Canillas	4:1
03.03.19	Canillas - Móstoles URJC	0:4
14.10.18	Móstoles URJC - Canillas	0:1

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