Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 27

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	Rayo Vallecano B		Real Aranjuez

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.7	4.6
	1.55	3.55	4.4
	1.72	3.43	4.18
	1.7	3.7	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.56)	3.6 ↓ (3.69)	4.4 ↓ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano B
54.7%

Draw
24.9%

Real Aranjuez
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

23.9%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

17.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Real Aranjuez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayo Vallecano B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Aranjuez than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Aranjuez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rayo Vallecano B - Real Aranjuez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Rayo Vallecano B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Aranjuez has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Real Aranjuez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rayo Vallecano B is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.03.23	Trival Valderas - Rayo Vallecano B	4:0 ✺
18.03.23	RSC Internacional - Rayo Vallecano B	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Rayo Vallecano B - Galapagar	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Las Rozas - Rayo Vallecano B	2:2 ✺
26.02.23	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcalá	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LTLTW
- Real Aranjuez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.03.23	Real Aranjuez - Galapagar	0:2 ✺
19.03.23	Las Rozas - Real Aranjuez	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Real Aranjuez - Alcalá	2:3 ✺
05.03.23	Ursaria - Real Aranjuez	5:1 ✺
26.02.23	Real Aranjuez - Paracuellos Antamira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.12.22	Real Aranjuez - Rayo Vallecano B	0:3

Rayo Vallecano B - Real Aranjuez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide