Match Info

THAILAND: Thai League 1 - Round 10

Date: 21 October 2024, Monday

Location: Rayong Provincial Stadium (Rayong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 1


	Rayong FC		Nongbua Pitchaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.43	3.3	2.6	Watch
	2.59	3.37	2.73
	2.46	3.33	2.63	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.6
	2.42	3.3	2.54	Watch
	2.43	3.3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.44)	3.32 ↑ (3.22)	2.62 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayong FC
37.6%

Draw
27.5%

Nongbua Pitchaya
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

29%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

28.9%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayong FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Nongbua Pitchaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayong FC than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	86.7%	0%

Rayong FC - Nongbua Pitchaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Rayong FC will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 86.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 69.5% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pipatnadda K. (G) 5. Phusirit W. 28. Diego Silva 44. Kerdkaew C. 22. Samre E. 66. Pholjuang T. 41. Ito R. 39. Janchaichit R. 4. Katano H. 29. Boodjinda A. 9. Junior S.	15. Jamsuwan K. (G) 17. Songma J. 27. Marom W. 46. Jorge Felipe 3. Palachom T. 10. Chawin S. 7. Lukthong N. 8. Park Jong-Woo 30. Sriwichai W. 23. Haber M. 11. Conrado
Substitutes
12. Aguinaldo A. 18. Auksonsri T. (G) 10. Batchari J. 55. Chanbunpha S. 21. Cuerva Barroso D. 64. Hanchai A. 36. Islame Y. 11. Kaminthong P. 6. Lwin M. A. 3. Namuangrak Y. 17. Noysri J. 16. Samanthai U.	99. Capistrano J. 9. Eisa A. 29. Fomthaisong A. 88. Hantes A. 18. Jujeen A. 6. Samansin W. 26. Sathaporn W. 16. Songma J. 20. Tanee W. 25. Waenlor A. 83. Yen-Arrom S. (G)
Coaches
Biasi Parreira C. E.	Yothee S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
13', Junior S. 🟨,
13', Park Jong-Woo 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Jorge Felipe (Own goal),
16', Marom W. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, Katano H. ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, Ito R. ⚽, Junior S. (A),
45+1', 3 - 1, Jorge Felipe ⚽, Sriwichai W. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chawin S. ↓, Sathaporn W. ↑,
60', Park Jong-Woo ↓, Waenlor A. ↑,
60', Lukthong N. ↓, Tanee W. ↑,
65', Pholjuang T. 🟨,
66', Haber M. ↓, Eisa A. ↑,
71', Janchaichit R. ↓, Hanchai A. ↑,
72', Phusirit W. ↓, Aguinaldo A. ↑,
72', Pholjuang T. ↓, Batchari J. ↑,
77', Sriwichai W. ↓, Songma J. ↑,
79', Boodjinda A. ↓, Kaminthong P. ↑,
82', Palachom T. 🟨,
88', Samre E. ↓, Namuangrak Y. ↑,
89', Songma J. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 12).

Rayong FC has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nongbua Pitchaya is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rayong FC won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Rayong FC won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayong FC
Thai League 1
05.10.24	Ratchaburi - Rayong FC	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Lamphun Warriors - Rayong FC	4:1 ✺
22.09.24	Rayong FC - Bangkok United	0:3 ✺
15.09.24	Uthai Thani - Rayong FC	3:1 ✺
31.08.24	Rayong FC - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Nongbua Pitchaya FC
Thai League 1
06.10.24	Nongbua Pitchaya - Bangkok United	2:3 ✺
28.09.24	Nakhon Ratchasima - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Nongbua Pitchaya - Uthai Thani	3:2 ✺
14.09.24	Pathum United - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Nongbua Pitchaya - Muangthong United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
03.03.24	Rayong FC - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:1
05.11.23	Nongbua Pitchaya - Rayong FC	1:1
Thai League Cup
16.11.22	Rayong FC - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:2 ET

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