Match Info

ENGLAND: WOMEN’S CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 13

Date: 20 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)


	Reading		Birmingham City LFC

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.1	1.4
	6.4	4.2	1.45
	6.96	4.41	1.4
	7.5	4.2	1.35
	6.94	4.2	1.4
	7.4	4.2	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.95 ↑ (4.75)	4.22 ↑ (3.78)	1.4 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
13.1%

Draw
21.6%

Birmingham City LFC
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

24.1%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

22.2%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reading's form might have worsened.

Birmingham City LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birmingham City LFC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reading, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City LFC than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham City LFC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Reading - Birmingham City LFC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Moore J. ⚽, Holloway R. (A),
30', 0 - 2, Smith L. ⚽, Herron N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 3, Agg L. ⚽,
79', 0 - 4, Agg L. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reading won 2.

Recent matches Reading is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Birmingham is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Birmingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Birmingham is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Reading won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading FC Women
English WSL 2
17.03.24	Southampton - Reading	5:0 ✺
10.03.24	Charlton Athletic - Reading	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Reading - London City Lionesses	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Reading - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Lewes - Reading	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWLWT
- Birmingham City LFC
English WSL 2
17.03.24	Birmingham City LFC - Blackburn Rovers	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Birmingham City LFC - Southampton	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup Women
10.02.24	Leicester City - Birmingham City LFC	6:2 ✺
English WSL 2
04.02.24	Watford - Birmingham City LFC	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Birmingham City LFC - London City Lionesses	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
05.11.23	Birmingham City LFC - Reading	2:1
Club Friendly Women
14.08.22	Birmingham City LFC - Reading	1:0
English WSL
23.01.22	Reading - Birmingham City LFC	3:2
07.11.21	Birmingham City LFC - Reading	0:3
25.04.21	Birmingham City LFC - Reading	1:1
11.10.20	Reading - Birmingham City LFC	0:1
12.01.20	Reading - Birmingham City LFC	1:0

Reading - Birmingham City LFC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide