Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 20

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	Real Ávila		Bembibre

	1	X	2
	1.37	4	7.5
	1.39	3.96	7.25
	1.36	4.2	8.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 (1.37)	4.05 ↓ (4.06)	7.62 ↓ (7.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Ávila
65.8%

Draw
22.3%

Bembibre
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

22.2%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

20.8%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Bembibre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bembibre than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Ávila won 2.

Real Ávila in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Bembibre is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Ávila could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Ávila is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Real Ávila to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Real Ávila won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Ávila won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ávila
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
03.02.24	Laguna de Tenerife - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Real Ávila - Becerril	3:1 ✺
21.01.24	Real Ávila - Mirandés B	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	La Virgen del Camino - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
07.01.24	Real Ávila - Santa Marta Tormes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW
- CA Bembibre
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
04.02.24	Palencia CA - Bembibre	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Bembibre - Laguna de Tenerife	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Bembibre - Becerril	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Mirandés B - Bembibre	1:2 ✺
07.01.24	Bembibre - La Virgen del Camino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
24.09.23	Bembibre - Real Ávila	1:0
26.03.23	Real Ávila - Bembibre	1:1
27.11.22	Bembibre - Real Ávila	0:0
06.02.22	Bembibre - Real Ávila	0:2
02.05.21	Bembibre - Real Ávila	0:1
11.04.21	Real Ávila - Bembibre	3:1
17.11.19	Bembibre - Real Ávila	1:2

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