Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 16

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	La Virgen del Camino		Real Ávila

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	1.82
	4.01	3.05	1.88
	4.02	3.05	1.88
	4.11	3.18	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.36)	3.1 ↑ (2.91)	1.86 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Virgen del Camino
22.4%

Draw
29.2%

Real Ávila
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

31%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

30.4%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Virgen del Camino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Real Ávila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Ávila's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Virgen del Camino than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Ávila, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches La Virgen won 2.

Recent matches La Virgen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Ávila in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Real Ávila will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches La Virgen won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams La Virgen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD La Virgen del Camino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
07.01.24	Bembibre - La Virgen del Camino	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	La Virgen del Camino - Laguna de Tenerife	2:2 ✺
03.12.23	Becerril - La Virgen del Camino	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	La Virgen del Camino - Mirandés B	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Palencia CA - La Virgen del Camino	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLTL
- Real Ávila
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
07.01.24	Real Ávila - Santa Marta Tormes	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Ponferradina B - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Real Ávila - Colegios Diocesanos	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Atlético Astorga - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Real Ávila - Atlético Tordesillas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
18.03.23	La Virgen del Camino - Real Ávila	0:1
20.11.22	Real Ávila - La Virgen del Camino	1:3
05.03.22	La Virgen del Camino - Real Ávila	0:1
24.10.21	Real Ávila - La Virgen del Camino	0:1
25.04.21	Real Ávila - La Virgen del Camino	1:1
08.03.20	Real Ávila - La Virgen del Camino	0:1
09.10.19	La Virgen del Camino - Real Ávila	0:0

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