Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Ávila		Coruxo

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.88	2.45
	2.86	2.89	2.66
	2.81	2.98	2.53	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.6
	2.88	3.14	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.37)	2.93 ↓ (3.18)	2.55 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Ávila
32.6%

Draw
31.3%

Coruxo
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

29.6%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Ávila's form might have worsened.

Coruxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Ávila, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Real Ávila - Coruxo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Fonterigo S. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Sarr M. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Ruiz M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Real Ávila has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Coruxo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Ávila won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Real Ávila won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Coruxo FC	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Real Ávila - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.85%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.02.26	Burgos Promesas - Real Ávila	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Real Ávila - Salamanca	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Valladolid B - Real Ávila	7:2 ✺
01.02.26	Real Ávila - Atlético Astorga	2:4 ✺
25.01.26	Lealtad - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLW
- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.02.26	Coruxo - Sarriana	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Coruxo - Valladolid B	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	UD Ourense - Coruxo	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Coruxo - Salamanca	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Real Oviedo B - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.12.25	Coruxo - Real Ávila	1:1
02.03.25	Coruxo - Real Ávila	0:1
20.10.24	Real Ávila - Coruxo	3:2

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