Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG


	Coruxo		Sarriana

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.85
	1.61	3.68	5.1	Watch
	1.65	3.3	5
	1.59	3.54	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.62)	3.51 ↓ (3.61)	5.07 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coruxo
56.2%

Draw
25.9%

Sarriana
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

25.4%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

24.5%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coruxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Sarriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Coruxo - Sarriana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Ju 🟥,
66', Alonso C. 🟥,
90+6', 1 - 0, Pinin G. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Coruxo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sarriana's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Coruxo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Coruxo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Coruxo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Coruxo FC	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.02.26	Coruxo - Valladolid B	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	UD Ourense - Coruxo	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Coruxo - Salamanca	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Real Oviedo B - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Coruxo - Atlético Astorga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LTWWW
- SD Sarriana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.02.26	Sarriana - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Sarriana	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Sarriana - Valladolid B	2:3 ✺
25.01.26	Burgos Promesas - Sarriana	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Sarriana - Real Oviedo B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Sarriana - Coruxo	1:2

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