Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Ávila		Rayo Cantabria

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	1.72	3.3	4.45
	1.91	3.45	3.68	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.18
	1.69	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.85)	3.35 ↑ (3.18)	4.08 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Ávila
50.4%

Draw
27.2%

Rayo Cantabria
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

28.4%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

30.1%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ávila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Rayo Cantabria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Real Ávila - Rayo Cantabria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Incera I. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Pascual C. ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, Marquitos ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
65', 2 - 2, Chino ⚽,
69', 3 - 2, Serrano Iranzo G. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 3, Incera I. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).

Real Ávila is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rayo Cantabria has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real Ávila will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Real Ávila won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).

Including home match between the teams, Real Ávila won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Rayo Cantabria	5	0	1	4	3:11	-8	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Real Ávila - Burgos Promesas	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Coruxo - Real Ávila	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Real Ávila - Rayo Vallecano	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.11.25	Marino de Luanco - Real Ávila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTLL
- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.12.25	Rayo Cantabria - Coruxo	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Valladolid B - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Rayo Cantabria - Salamanca	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Sámano - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Rayo Cantabria - Sarriana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.02.25	Real Ávila - Rayo Cantabria	4:0
29.09.24	Rayo Cantabria - Real Ávila	0:2

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