Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 13

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Sámano		Rayo Cantabria

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.05	2.28
	3.01	3.21	2.34
	2.70	3.22	2.46	Watch
	2.89	3.46	2.3
	3	3.14	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.7)	3.22 (3.22)	2.33 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sámano
31.8%

Draw
28.7%

Rayo Cantabria
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

28.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

27.3%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Rayo Cantabria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Sámano - Rayo Cantabria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Calera S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Castillo Marcilla A. ⚽,
70', Rosado D. 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sámano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Rayo Cantabria - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.38%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Sámano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.11.25	Coruxo - Sámano	4:1 ✺
15.11.25	Sámano - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:5 ✺
09.11.25	Burgos Promesas - Sámano	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sámano - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Sámano - Deportivo A Coruña	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTWL
- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.11.25	Rayo Cantabria - Sarriana	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Lealtad - Rayo Cantabria	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Rayo Cantabria - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Real Oviedo B - Rayo Cantabria	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Rayo Cantabria - Bergantiños	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
12.10.17	Rayo Cantabria - Sámano	1:0

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