Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 25

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Real Agro Aversa		Castrovillari

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.9
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.33	3.11	2.77
	2.25	3.2	3
	2.36	2.99	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.19)	3.08 ↓ (3.19)	2.9 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Agro Aversa
39.4%

Draw
29.4%

Castrovillari
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Agro Aversa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Castrovillari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Agro Aversa than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Real Agro Aversa - Castrovillari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out)).

Real Agro Aversa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Castrovillari is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castrovillari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Real Agro Aversa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Agro Aversa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Agro Aversa
Italian Serie D - Group I
19.02.23	Sancataldese - Real Agro Aversa	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Real Agro Aversa - Acireale	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Lamezia Terme - Real Agro Aversa	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Real Agro Aversa - Canicattì	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Cittanovese - Real Agro Aversa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- ASD Castrovillari Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
18.02.23	Castrovillari - Mariglianese	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Sancataldese - Castrovillari	1:2 ✺
05.02.23	Castrovillari - Catania	0:2 ✺
29.01.23	Acireale - Castrovillari	1:2 ✺
25.01.23	Castrovillari - Canicattì	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
23.10.22	Castrovillari - Real Agro Aversa	1:1
20.02.22	Real Agro Aversa - Castrovillari	0:0

Real Agro Aversa - Castrovillari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide