Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 22

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Castrovillari		Catania

	1	X	2
	7	4.2	1.36
	7.66	3.96	1.37
	6	4.33	1.4
	7.2	4.45	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.97 ↓ (7.31)	4.24 ↑ (4.17)	1.37 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castrovillari
13%

Draw
21.3%

Catania
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.2%

21.4%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.4%

20%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castrovillari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Winners stage).

Castrovillari is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Catania in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Catania could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Catania is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castrovillari won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Castrovillari Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
29.01.23	Acireale - Castrovillari	1:2 ✺
25.01.23	Castrovillari - Canicattì	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Castrovillari - Vibonese	0:1 ✺
18.01.23	San Luca - Castrovillari	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Lamezia Terme - Castrovillari	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLL
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie D - Group I
28.01.23	Vibonese - Catania	0:2 ✺
22.01.23	Catania - Licata	4:1 ✺
15.01.23	San Luca - Catania	1:3 ✺
08.01.23	Catania - Ragusa	3:0 ✺
21.12.22	Catania - Trapani	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
09.10.22	Catania - Castrovillari	4:0

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