Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 24

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Real Aranjuez		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.3	1.7
	4.2	3.15	1.7
	4.35	3.28	1.68
	4.8	3.5	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (4.35)	3.31 ↑ (3.28)	1.69 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Aranjuez
20.1%

Draw
27%

Alcalá
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

27%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

26.3%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Aranjuez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Aranjuez than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Real Aranjuez - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Alcalá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alcalá is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Real Aranjuez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Aranjuez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Aranjuez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.03.23	Ursaria - Real Aranjuez	5:1 ✺
26.02.23	Real Aranjuez - Paracuellos Antamira	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Torrejón - Real Aranjuez	4:2 ✺
12.02.23	Real Aranjuez - Móstoles URJC	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Collado Villalba - Real Aranjuez	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LLLWW
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.03.23	Alcalá - Trival Valderas	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcalá	3:1 ✺
19.02.23	Alcalá - Galapagar	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Las Rozas - Alcalá	1:2 ✺
05.02.23	RSC Internacional - Alcalá	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.11.22	Alcalá - Real Aranjuez	3:1
05.05.21	Real Aranjuez - Alcalá	1:2

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