Match Info

Date: 28 September 2022, Wednesday


	Real Avilés		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.52	3.5	6
	1.53	3.6	5.6
	1.55	3.63	6.44
	1.5	3.3	6
	1.52	3.64	6
	1.54	3.6	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.58)	3.55 ↓ (3.68)	5.91 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
59.2%

Draw
25.5%

Alcalá
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

24.4%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

23.7%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+3%)

Real Avilés - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Real Avilés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Avilés is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Avilés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.09.22	Real Avilés - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	3:0 ✺
18.09.22	Bergantiños - Real Avilés	3:1 ✺
11.09.22	Real Avilés - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Polvorín - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.22	Real Avilés - Atlético Tordesillas	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLTW
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
25.09.22	Ursaria - Alcalá	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	Alcalá - Paracuellos Antamira	0:1 ✺
11.09.22	Torrejón - Alcalá	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.08.22	Alcalá - Complutense Alcalá	2:0 ✺
11.08.22	Alcalá - Fuenlabrada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.02.13	Alcalá - Real Avilés	1:0

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