Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Real Avilés		Arosa

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.33
	1.72	3.3	4.35
	1.88	3.1	3.95
	1.92	3.14	4.45
	1.87	3.2	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.77)	3.21 ↓ (3.32)	4.28 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
50.1%

Draw
28.5%

Arosa
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

27.9%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

22.5%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Avilés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Avilés - Arosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 9).

Real Avilés is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arosa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Avilés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real Avilés is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.10.21	Palencia CA - Real Avilés	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
13.10.21	Real Avilés - Racing Santander	0:3 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.10.21	Navalcarnero - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Langreo - Real Avilés	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.10.21	Real Avilés - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLTWW
- Arosa SC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.10.21	Arosa - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
10.10.21	Unión Adarve - Arosa	2:1 ✺
03.10.21	Arosa - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
26.09.21	Gimnástica Segoviana - Arosa	2:0 ✺
19.09.21	Arosa - Llanera	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLT

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