Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Arosa		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.95	2.9
	2.15	2.9	3.35
	2.18	2.95	3.2
	2.22	2.99	3.4
	2.17	3.1	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.4)	2.98 ↓ (3.02)	3.24 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arosa
41.3%

Draw
30.6%

Navalcarnero
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.9%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

21.9%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arosa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Navalcarnero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arosa - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 13).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Arosa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arosa will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arosa SC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.10.21	Unión Adarve - Arosa	2:1 ✺
03.10.21	Arosa - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
26.09.21	Gimnástica Segoviana - Arosa	2:0 ✺
19.09.21	Arosa - Llanera	0:0 ✺
12.09.21	Marino de Luanco - Arosa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLTW
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Copa Federacion
13.10.21	Guijuelo - Navalcarnero	2:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.10.21	Navalcarnero - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Navalcarnero - Villanovense	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.10.21	Palencia CA - Navalcarnero	3:0 ✺
26.09.21	Unión Adarve - Navalcarnero	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWLL

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