Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 18

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday


	Real Avilés		Polvorín

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	5.5
	1.54	3.45	6.25
	1.53	3.4	6
	1.65	3.66	5.27
	1.55	3.54	6.05
	1.54	3.45	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.45)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	5.88 ↓ (8.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
58.3%

Draw
26.2%

Polvorín
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

26.7%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

25.2%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Polvorín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Avilés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polvorín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Real Avilés - Polvorín Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Real Avilés will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Polvorín will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Real Avilés is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Polvorín is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Real Avilés is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Avilés won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.01.23	Real Avilés - Guijuelo	0:2 ✺
08.01.23	Zamora - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
18.12.22	Real Avilés - Langreo	2:0 ✺
11.12.22	Ourense CF - Real Avilés	2:0 ✺
04.12.22	Real Avilés - Burgos Promesas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWLW
- Polvorín FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.01.23	Arenteiro - Polvorín	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Polvorín - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:0 ✺
18.12.22	Bergantiños - Polvorín	0:0 ✺
11.12.22	Polvorín - Coruxo	0:3 ✺
03.12.22	Real Oviedo B - Polvorín	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.09.22	Polvorín - Real Avilés	0:0

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