The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zamora 52.7%
Draw 28.9%
Real Avilés 18.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
27.9%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
28.3%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zamora's performance.
Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Avilés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamora that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Avilés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
0%
40%
Zamora - Real Avilés Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Zamora will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Real Avilés will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Avilés (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sobron F. (G) 8. Lucero R. 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 5. Ruiz E. 3. Merchan D. 10. Ramos C. 6. Garcia M. 22. Sancho J. 7. Kike 15. Buron L. 9. Eslava J.
1. Fernandez A. (G) 20. Campabadal E. 5. Babin J. 12. Granero B. 26. Carracedo O. 7. Hernandez R. 16. Gomez A. 18. Gete A. 22. Isi Ros 9. Santamaria A. 11. Rubio R.
Substitutes
26. Alvaro (G) 17. Carbonell J. 14. Claveria P. 18. Farrell J. 21. Lopez M. 23. Lopez S. 16. Lozano M. 19. Monerris A. 13. Pereda A. (G) 11. Romero Morillo A.
13. Almodovar N. (G) 21. Alvarez P. 17. Bari Q. 14. Cayarga B. 10. Cueto J. 3. Diaz V. 23. El Arbaoui Y. 2. Ortega G. 19. Poquet N. 4. Rodriguez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Ruiz E. ⚽,
32', Luengo Herrera L. M. 🟨,
37', Campabadal E. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Campabadal E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 2 - 1, Kike ⚽,
64', Ramos C. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
64', Granero B. ↓, El Arbaoui Y. ↑,
64', Kike ↓, Lozano M. ↑,
72', Isi Ros ↓, Cayarga B. ↑,
75', Garcia M. ↓, Claveria P. ↑,
79', Campabadal E. ↓, Ortega G. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Ortega G. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 3, Cueto J. ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6)
Recent performances by Zamora have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Real Avilés is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Zamora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Zamora is a strong favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Zamora won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Real Avilés - the odds 3.34 are the expected chance of winning is 27.42%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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Sobron F. (G) 
Lucero R. 
Babin J. 
Farrell J. 
Lopez M. 
Bari Q. 
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