Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 26

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Modibo Kéïta (Bamako)


	Real Bamako		Bougouba

	1	X	2
	1.74	3.05	4.60
	1.12	1.00	1.00	Watch
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.74)	2.03 ↓ (3.05)	2.8 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 12%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Bamako
45.1%

Draw
31.9%

Bougouba
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

29.3%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

28%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Bamako has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Bamako's form might have worsened.

Bougouba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bamako than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Bamako, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bougouba than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Bamako won 4.

Real Bamako is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bougouba's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Real Bamako is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Real Bamako won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Bamako won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Real Bamako	26	14	7	5	32:14	18	49
8	Bougouba	26	8	7	11	21:34	-13	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Bamako
Malian Première Division
09.06.26	Djoliba - Real Bamako	0:1 ✺
05.06.26	Real Bamako - Afrique Football Elite	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Korofina - Real Bamako	1:0 ✺
25.05.26	Real Bamako - Derby Académie	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Real Bamako - Diarra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLWW
- US Bougouba
Malian Première Division
09.06.26	Bougouba - Diarra	2:6 ✺
05.06.26	Binga - Bougouba	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Bougouba - Bakaridjan	1:1 ✺
25.05.26	USFAS Bamako - Bougouba	0:2 ✺
19.05.26	Bougouba - Mali Coura	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
07.02.26	Bougouba - Real Bamako	1:2
05.04.25	Real Bamako - Bougouba	3:0
14.12.24	Bougouba - Real Bamako	1:0
12.05.24	Bougouba - Real Bamako	1:2
28.12.23	Real Bamako - Bougouba	2:1
08.06.22	Bougouba - Real Bamako	0:1
21.01.22	Real Bamako - Bougouba	0:2

Real Bamako - Bougouba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide