Match Info

BRAZIL: Brasiliense - Round 8

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Samambaia		Ceilandense

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.55	5.2
	1.47	4.41	4.97
	1.52	3.92	5.78	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.61	3.55	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.6)	3.93 ↑ (3.5)	5.43 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samambaia
59.8%

Draw
23.3%

Ceilandense
16.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.8%

25.9%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

25.3%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samambaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Ceilandense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samambaia than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Ceilandense aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Samambaia - Ceilandense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ceilandense will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 8).

Recent matches Samambaia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceilandense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Samambaia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Samambaia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samambaia FC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
17.02.25	Real Brasilia - Samambaia	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Samambaia - Sobradinho	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Samambaia - Gama	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Legião - Samambaia	0:4 ✺
29.01.25	Paranoá - Samambaia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLWL
- SE Ceilandense
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
16.02.25	Legião - Ceilandense	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Ceilandense - Paranoá	3:4 ✺
09.02.25	Brasiliense - Ceilandense	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Ceilandense - Real Brasilia	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Gama - Ceilandense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
02.03.24	Ceilandense - Samambaia	0:0

Samambaia - Ceilandense