Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA B - CLAUSURA - ROUND 13

Date: 25 September 2023, Monday


	Real Cundinamarca		Fortaleza CEIF

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.55	3.06	2.29
	3.25	2.88	2.2
	3.3	3.06	2.12
	3.3	3.1	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.5)	3.04 ↓ (3.11)	2.2 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cundinamarca
27.7%

Draw
30.4%

Fortaleza CEIF
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

29.8%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

29.2%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cundinamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Real Cundinamarca - Fortaleza CEIF Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Asprilla W. (C) 26. Angulo J. 13. Arcila J. 17. Bravo W. 5. Camacho I. 4. Guerrero S. 15. Onate A. 23. Orozco G. 27. Parra G. 14. Rocha A. 32. Viveros J.	12. Garcia Jordan (G) 16. Ampudia J. 25. Bermudez Correa J. A. 9. Blanco J. 23. Guevara J. 18. Herrera J. 27. Londono Y. 10. Navarro S. 5. Pico L. 3. Rivera D. 24. Salas J.
Substitutes
31. Alvarez D. 33. Catano K. (G) 21. Monsalve Montoya J. 24. Quintero Vega J. 19. Ramos R. 28. Rios C. 8. Sanches Valdes B. A.	17. Balanta Carabali K. A. 22. Barragan M. (G) 15. Cuero S. 28. Guzman E. 8. Hinestroza J. 19. Moralez A. 11. Rodriguez N.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Real Soacha is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fortaleza in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fortaleza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fortaleza will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Primera B
21.09.23	Bogotá - Real Cundinamarca	0:0 ✺
15.09.23	Real Cundinamarca - Patriotas	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Deportes Quindío - Real Cundinamarca	1:1 ✺
06.09.23	Real Cundinamarca - Leones	1:2 ✺
01.09.23	Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cundinamarca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTTLL
- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera B
20.09.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Real Cartagena	1:0 ✺
15.09.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Internacional de Palmira	2:0 ✺
11.09.23	Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
08.09.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Patriotas	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Llaneros SA - Fortaleza CEIF	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTWW

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