Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - APERTURA - ROUND 2

Date: 25 January 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Cota (Cota)


	Fortaleza CEIF		Patriotas

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.8	Watch
	2	2.95	3.9
	2.1	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.09	3.1	3.8
	2.11	3.29	3.9
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	2.05	3.24	3.72	Watch
	1.95	3.15	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.71)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	3.77 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
45.9%

Draw
29.4%

Patriotas
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

28.2%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza CEIF's form might have worsened.

Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Patriotas's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Fortaleza CEIF - Patriotas Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Patriotas will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Castillo J. (G) 18. Palacios H. 19. Moralez A. 3. Rivera D. (C) 16. Hinestroza C. 11. Rodriguez N. 13. Pajaro R. 14. Pico L. 27. Londono Y. 30. Parra Osorio A. 9. Arrieta J.	32. Valencia J. (G) 15. Roa S. 5. Rodas M. 38. Payares L. 25. De Las Salas C. 29. Ayala J. 26. Caicedo J. 8. Castano M. 27. Sarria E. 9. Cordoba S. 7. Rivas C.
Substitutes
26. Anderson I. 17. Balanta Carabali K. A. 80. Castillo J. 6. Diaz Y. 12. Garcia Jordan (G) 33. Rios J. 24. Salas J.	16. Banguero F. 28. Mosquera C. 10. Parra Atehortua K. 11. Pena G. 2. Pezzi A. 1. Roman S. (G) 13. Silva G.
Coaches
Oliveros S.	Rivera H.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 3.

Fortaleza will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A
20.01.24	Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF	1:2 ✺
Colombian Primera B
28.11.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Patriotas	1:0 ✺
22.11.23	Patriotas - Fortaleza CEIF	3:1 ✺
17.11.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:0 ✺
14.11.23	Cúcuta Deportivo - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWL
- Patriotas FC
Colombian Primera A
19.01.24	Patriotas - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
28.11.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Patriotas	1:0 ✺
22.11.23	Patriotas - Fortaleza CEIF	3:1 ✺
11.10.23	Patriotas - Tigres	4:0 ✺
07.10.23	Internacional de Palmira - Patriotas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
28.11.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Patriotas	1:0
22.11.23	Patriotas - Fortaleza CEIF	3:1
29.09.23	Patriotas - Fortaleza CEIF	0:2
08.09.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Patriotas	1:0
23.04.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Patriotas	1:1
24.03.23	Patriotas - Fortaleza CEIF	3:0

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