Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA B - CLAUSURA - ROUND 11

Date: 15 September 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Cota (Cota)


	Fortaleza CEIF		Internacional de Palmira

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.5	4	6	Watch
	1.52	4.13	6.63
	1.47	3.6	6.5
	1.49	3.96	6.15	Watch
	1.48	3.95	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.75)	3.93 ↑ (3.62)	6.22 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
61.7%

Draw
23.4%

Internacional de Palmira
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

25.9%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

25%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza CEIF's performance.

Internacional de Palmira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Internacional de Palmira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza CEIF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional de Palmira than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Internacional de Palmira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Fortaleza CEIF - Internacional de Palmira Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Garcia Jordan (G) 16. Ampudia J. 25. Bermudez Correa J. A. 18. Herrera J. 27. Londono Y. 19. Moralez A. 10. Navarro S. 13. Pajaro R. 3. Rivera D. 11. Rodriguez N. 24. Salas J.	12. Loaiza J. (G) 13. Aedo A. 8. Caicedo J. (C) 9. Cortes C. 26. Gonzalez M. 20. Jimenez J. 19. Martinez E. 30. Mina Chara J. E. 5. Mosquera J. 10. Navarro F. 17. Suarez K.
Substitutes
17. Balanta Carabali K. A. 21. Berrio C. 1. Castillo J. (G) 7. Garcia J. 28. Guzman E. 4. Pertuz J. 5. Pico L.	6. Caicedo Y. 23. Gamboa J. 33. Gongora N. 2. Lucumi S. 24. Osorio S. 14. Segura O. 22. Vasquez J. (G)

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 3.

Fortaleza is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Cortuluá is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fortaleza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fortaleza is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera B
11.09.23	Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
08.09.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Patriotas	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Llaneros SA - Fortaleza CEIF	1:2 ✺
30.08.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Leones	3:1 ✺
25.08.23	Cúcuta Deportivo - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWWL
- Internacional de Palmira
Colombian Primera B
09.09.23	Internacional de Palmira - Orsomarso	3:0 ✺
06.09.23	Llaneros SA - Internacional de Palmira	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Internacional de Palmira - Atlético Cali	0:1 ✺
29.08.23	Cúcuta Deportivo - Internacional de Palmira	1:1 ✺
22.08.23	Internacional de Palmira - Barranquilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
09.04.23	Internacional de Palmira - Fortaleza CEIF	0:1
Colombian Copa
07.04.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Internacional de Palmira	1:0
30.03.22	Internacional de Palmira - Fortaleza CEIF	0:1
Colombian Primera B
30.10.21	Fortaleza CEIF - Internacional de Palmira	1:2
02.05.21	Fortaleza CEIF - Internacional de Palmira	2:3
29.04.21	Internacional de Palmira - Fortaleza CEIF	0:1
06.02.21	Internacional de Palmira - Fortaleza CEIF	3:0

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