Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 15 March 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Francisco Morazán (San Pedro Sula)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)


	Real España		Vancouver Whitecaps

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.37	3.5	2.7
	2.2	3.4	2.85
	2.39	3.35	2.6
	2.47	3.52	2.53
	2.38	3.25	2.6
	2.55	3.58	2.59	Watch
	2.37	3.3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (3.32)	3.43 ↓ (3.64)	2.65 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real España
38.3%

Draw
26.9%

Vancouver Whitecaps
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

25.2%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

24.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real España's performance.

Vancouver Whitecaps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vancouver Whitecaps might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real España that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vancouver Whitecaps could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Real España - Vancouver Whitecaps Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Real España will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Vancouver will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real España: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Real España is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vancouver is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real España could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real España won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real España
CONCACAF Champions Cup
08.03.23	Vancouver Whitecaps - Real España	5:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
04.03.23	Real España - Motagua	0:3 ✺
01.03.23	Victoria La Ceiba - Real España	1:3 ✺
25.02.23	Real España - Olancho	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Vida - Real España	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWTT
- Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS
11.03.23	Vancouver Whitecaps - FC Dallas	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
08.03.23	Vancouver Whitecaps - Real España	5:0 ✺
MLS
04.03.23	San Jose Earthquakes - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Vancouver Whitecaps - Real Salt Lake	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.01.23	Hamburger SV - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
08.03.23	Vancouver Whitecaps - Real España	5:0

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