Match Info

CONCACAF Champions Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: BC Place (Vancouver, BC)

Referee: Ramos C. A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	OneSoccer
Germany	Sportdigital1+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 3
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FOX One, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Vancouver Whitecaps		Seattle Sounders

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.35	3.55
	1.98	3.57	3.89
	2	3.46	3.56	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.5
	1.93	3.73	4.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.76)	3.5 (3.5)	3.72 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vancouver Whitecaps
48.2%

Draw
26.7%

Seattle Sounders
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

25.9%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

24.5%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vancouver Whitecaps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vancouver Whitecaps, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	27.3%	0%

Vancouver Whitecaps - Seattle Sounders Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Vancouver will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vancouver: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vancouver (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Takaoka Y. (G) 18. Ocampo E. 33. Blackmon T. 2. Laborda M. 28. Johnson T. 16. Berhalter S. 8. Larraz O. 11. Sabbi E. 13. Muller T. (C) 17. Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 19. Elloumi R.	24. Frei S. (C) 16. Roldan A. 85. Kossa-Rienzi K. 25. Ragen J. 5. Nouhou 11. Rusnak A. 7. Roldan C. 37. Brunell S. 17. Arriola P. 9. Ferreira J. 95. De Rosario O.
Substitutes
59. Badwal J. 32. Boehmer I. (G) 41. Djordjevic N. 29. Gherasimencov M. 22. Jackson A. 26. Ngando J. 6. Priso R. 7. Sabaly C. 24. White B. 30. Zendejas A. (G)	50. Anchor M. (G) 33. Baker C. 90. Gomez S. 45. Kingston P. 35. Lopez A. 19. Musovski D. 44. Petkovic N. 14. Rothrock P. 26. Thomas A. (G) 36. Tsukanome Y.
Coaches
Sorensen J.	Schmetzer B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Arriola P. ⚽, Ferreira J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Blackmon T. ↓, Priso R. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Arriola P. ⚽,
62', Elloumi R. ↓, White B. ↑,
62', Arriola P. ↓, Rothrock P. ↑,
62', De Rosario O. ↓, Musovski D. ↑,
63', Sabbi E. ↓, Sabaly C. ↑,
70', 0 - 3, Rothrock P. ⚽, Roldan C. (A),
75', Larraz O. ↓, Badwal J. ↑,
77', Rusnak A. ↓, Petkovic N. ↑,
77', Ferreira J. ↓, Kingston P. ↑,
83', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
90', Roldan A. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 2.

Vancouver has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Seattle has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Vancouver is a strong favorite.

We predict that Vancouver will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS
07.03.26	Portland Timbers - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Toronto FC	3:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
25.02.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Cartagines	2:0 ✺
MLS
21.02.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Real Salt Lake	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
18.02.26	Cartagines - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWT
- Seattle Sounders FC
MLS
07.03.26	St. Louis City - Seattle Sounders	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Real Salt Lake - Seattle Sounders	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Seattle Sounders - Colorado Rapids	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.02.26	Kharkiv - Seattle Sounders	3:0 ✺
05.02.26	Seattle Sounders - Hammarby	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
27.09.25	Seattle Sounders - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:2
08.06.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Seattle Sounders	3:0
02.10.24	Vancouver Whitecaps - Seattle Sounders	0:3
18.05.24	Seattle Sounders - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:1
20.04.24	Seattle Sounders - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:2
07.10.23	Seattle Sounders - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:0
08.07.23	Vancouver Whitecaps - Seattle Sounders	2:3

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