The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Victoria La Ceiba 25.9%
Draw 25%
Real España 49.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.4%
22.6%
60%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.3%
22.5%
60.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Victoria La Ceiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Victoria La Ceiba's performance.
Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real España might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Victoria La Ceiba that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real España could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Victoria La Ceiba - Real España Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Flores E. (G) 5. Banegas A. 28. Barrios A. 48. Card S. 25. Chavez B. 20. Espinal M. (C) 33. Garcia J. 19. Lahera Y. 32. Monico D. 4. Oliva E. 65. Sevilla L.
22. Lopez L. (G) 10. Benavidez J. (C) 4. Capeluto J. 5. Flores F. 8. Garcia A. 6. Garcia D. 11. Hernandez E. 14. Jean-Baptiste J. 36. Osorto R. 21. Palacios D. 20. Romero C.
Substitutes
3. Barrios O. 23. Bueso G. 27. Guzman J. 8. Kelly K. 46. Lozano F. 6. Matute C. 12. Perello M. (G) 16. Portillo A. 38. Ramirez L. 24. Sanchez J. 29. Suazo O.
19. Aparicio D. 54. Arana M. 16. Arzu E. 39. Cacho D. 23. Lopez R. (G) 28. Mejia C. 58. Palacios Y. 34. Pike C. 26. Rodriguez J. 30. Sayago D. 44. Tatum Ferrera A. K. 18. Vuelto D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Garcia J. ⚽,
45', Benavidez J. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Garcia D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Romero C. ↓, Arzu E. ↑,
46', Chavez B. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
47', Portillo A. 🟨,
49', Garcia A. 🟨,
59', Garcia A. ↓, Vuelto D. ↑,
60', Monico D. ↓, Ramirez L. ↑,
68', Osorto R. ↓, Sayago D. ↑,
76', Espinal M. ↓, Matute C. ↑,
81', Arzu E. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Vuelto D. ⚽,
90+3', Arzu E. ↓, Tatum Ferrera A. K. ↑,
90+4', Hernandez E. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
Real España is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 1.
Victoria La Ceiba is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Real España has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Victoria La Ceiba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Real España might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:39. (average 1.4:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Victoria La Ceiba won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.6:1.9).
Honduras
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Flores E. (G) 
Lahera Y. 
Capeluto J. 
Bueso G. 
Lozano F. 
Aparicio D. 
Sayago D. 
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