Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Francisco Morazán (San Pedro Sula)


	Real España		Olancho

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.55	4.45
	1.68	3.57	4.71
	1.71	3.74	4.62	Watch
	1.7	3.3	4.6
	1.65	3.52	4.74
	1.64	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.6)	3.51 ↓ (3.64)	4.65 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real España
54.5%

Draw
25.9%

Olancho
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

24.8%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

24.9%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Real España - Olancho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lopez L. (G) 4. Capeluto J. 12. Cruz N. 5. Flores F. 8. Garcia A. 6. Garcia D. 14. Jean-Baptiste J. 36. Osorto R. 21. Palacios D. 30. Sayago D. 18. Vuelto D.	1. Fonseca H. (G) 14. Argueta C. 20. Cabrera Y. A. 11. Calix C. 23. Delgado J. 24. Elvir O. 8. Gomez H. 3. Lasso J. 12. Mejia Y. 33. Munoz N. 30. Ramirez Arauz M. R.
Substitutes
19. Aparicio D. 54. Arana M. 10. Benavidez J. 39. Cacho D. 11. Hernandez E. 23. Lopez R. (G) 28. Mejia C. 58. Palacios Y. 34. Pike C. 7. Ritacco G. 20. Romero C. 44. Tatum Ferrera A. K.	2. Almendarez O. 29. Argueta G. (G) 15. Dominguez J. 39. Garcia M. 5. Martinez D. 16. Moncada M. 27. Murillo A. 42. Reyes R. 7. Rodriguez D. 9. Sanchez J. 18. Villatoro A. 21. Zuniga Bernardez C. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Vuelto D. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Sayago D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Calix C. ↓, Almendarez O. ↑,
46', Gomez H. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
46', Cabrera Y. A. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
60', Elvir O. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
68', Vuelto D. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
74', Delgado J. ↓, Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ↑,
84', Osorto R. ↓, Ritacco G. ↑,
84', Jean-Baptiste J. ↓, Tatum Ferrera A. K. ↑,
89', Sayago D. ↓, Romero C. ↑,
90', Cruz N. ↓, Arana M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real España won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Real España is the team to beat.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Real España won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Real España won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Espana	8	5	3	0	13:4	9	18
6	Olancho	8	2	5	1	6:5	1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional
27.12.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Real España	1:0 ✺
23.12.25	Real España - Motagua	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Motagua - Real España	0:3 ✺
10.12.25	Real España - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Lobos UPNFM - Real España	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWLT
- Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
28.12.25	CD Marathón - Olancho	2:1 ✺
25.12.25	Olancho - Platense	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Platense - Olancho	1:1 ✺
11.12.25	Olancho - CD Marathón	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Choloma - Olancho	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
27.09.25	Olancho - Real España	1:1
22.07.25	Real España - Olancho	4:1
03.05.25	Real España - Olancho	1:0
01.03.25	Olancho - Real España	0:3
20.10.24	Real España - Olancho	1:1
11.08.24	Olancho - Real España	3:1
30.03.24	Real España - Olancho	1:1

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