Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Francisco Morazán (San Pedro Sula)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Real España		Choloma

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.00	5.50
	1.36	4.30	5.80
	1.51	4.35	5.80
	1.42	4.58	6.82	Watch
	1.47	3.95	5.15
	1.46	4.20	5.60
	1.49	3.95	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)	4.19 ↑ (3.9)	5.67 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real España
62.4%

Draw
21.6%

Choloma
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

22.5%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Choloma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Real España - Choloma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lopez L. (G) 28. Mejia C. 2. Tatum Ferrera A. K. 6. Garcia D. 25. Pereira M. 5. Flores F. 12. Cruz N. 8. Garcia A. 36. Osorto R. 18. Vuelto D. 11. Hernandez E.	24. Pineda J. (G) 23. Castillo H. 28. Barrios J. 21. Capeluto J. 29. Florez E. 10. Canales J. 11. Alvarado A. 14. Madrid C. 13. Villatoro A. 9. Ferreira L. 27. Fajardo A.
Substitutes
17. Alvarado M. 54. Arana M. 39. Cacho D. 72. Gutierrez N. 23. Lopez R. (G) 67. Moya M. 49. Reyes H. (G) 7. Ritacco G. 52. Rochez J. 64. Salazar V. 30. Sayago D. 35. Zavala D.	. Alfaro A. 7. Arias I. . Calderon A. 33. Hernandez S. 20. Lindo M. . Mateo D. 25. Obed Mejia Machado G. 30. Oliva J. 18. Quejada J. 40. Ramirez C. 19. Zamora O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Villatoro A. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Hernandez E. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Hernandez E. ⚽,
34', Ferreira L. ↓, Nunez Ramirez H. J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Barrios J. ↓, Zamora O. ↑,
46', Pereira M. ↓, Cacho D. ↑,
50', Madrid C. 🟨,
58', Vuelto D. ↓, Sayago D. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Castillo H. ⚽,
68', Mejia C. 🟨,
73', Zamora O. ↓, Lindo M. ↑,
76', Hernandez E. ↓, Arana M. ↑,
76', Cruz N. ↓, Ritacco G. ↑,
80', Arana M. ↓, Alvarado M. ↑,
84', Florez E. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
85', Osorto R. 🟨,
89', Lindo M. 🟨,
90+2', Cacho D. 🟨,
90+4', Osorto R. ↓, Salazar V. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Real España may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real España is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real España won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real España won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Espana	8	5	3	0	13:4	9	18
10	Choloma	8	2	1	5	6:8	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional
23.08.26	CD Marathón - Real España	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Real España - Atlético Independiente	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Platense - Real España	0:3 ✺
18.05.26	Real España - CD Marathón	1:1 ✺
12.05.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Real España	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTWTL
- CD Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional
22.08.26	Choloma - Platense	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Choloma - CD Marathón	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Génesis PN - Choloma	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	CD Marathón - Choloma	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Motagua - Choloma	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
09.04.26	Choloma - Real España	3:2
14.02.26	Real España - Choloma	2:1
18.10.25	Real España - Choloma	3:0
09.08.25	Choloma - Real España	0:3

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