Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ruben Deras (Choloma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Choloma		CD Marathón

	1	X	2
	6.00	4.10	1.42
	4.40	3.90	1.52
	6.45	4.23	1.40
	5.38	3.94	1.59	Watch
	6.05	3.95	1.41
	7.09	4.15	1.39
	6.00	4.20	1.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.91 ↑ (4.62)	4.07 ↑ (3.46)	1.45 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Choloma
15.3%

Draw
22.2%

CD Marathón
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

26.1%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Choloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CD Marathón's recent form is better than expected.

Choloma - CD Marathón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Pineda J. (G) 11. Alvarado 28. Barrios J. (C) 23. Castillo H. 27. Fajardo A. 9. Ferreira L. 29. Florez E. 14. Murillo C. 18. Quejada J. 6. Suazo J. 19. Zamora O.	1. Juarez H. (G) 14. Arriaga Chavez J. A. (C) 3. Bodden K. 7. Castillo I. 56. Gaido C. 16. Martinez Hernandez F. E. 12. Mejia Y. 27. Paz J. 21. Ramos O. 41. Sevilla C. 8. Sorto Caballero T. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Fajardo A. 🟨,
26', Sevilla C. 🟨,
43', Castillo H. 🟨,
45', Pineda J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Mejia Y. ↓, Carcamo L. ↑,
56', Suazo J. ↓, Oliva J. ↑,
56', Zamora O. ↓, Canales J. ↑,
60', Barrios J. 🟨,
65', Ferreira L. ↓, Villatoro A. ↑,
70', Gaido C. ↓, Canales M. ↑,
71', Martinez Hernandez F. E. 🟨,
78', 🟨,
78', Ramos O. ↓, Bueso J. ↑,
80', Bueso J. 🟨,
88', Alvarado ↓, Hernandez S. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 1, Paz J. ⚽,

Preview

Choloma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Marathón is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Choloma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Choloma won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Marathon	8	5	2	1	14:6	8	17
10	Choloma	8	2	1	5	6:8	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional
01.08.26	Génesis PN - Choloma	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	CD Marathón - Choloma	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Motagua - Choloma	5:1 ✺
18.04.26	Choloma - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:3 ✺
13.04.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Choloma	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 LWLLW
- CD Marathón
CONCACAF Central American Cup
13.08.26	Antigua GFC - CD Marathón	0:3 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
03.08.26	CD Marathón - Atlético Independiente	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
30.07.26	Herediano - CD Marathón	0:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
24.05.26	Motagua - CD Marathón	1:0 penalties ✺
21.05.26	CD Marathón - Motagua	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
30.04.26	CD Marathón - Choloma	0:1
10.03.26	Choloma - CD Marathón	0:0
27.11.25	Choloma - CD Marathón	0:4
14.09.25	CD Marathón - Choloma	1:0

Upcoming Matches