Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Motagua		Choloma

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.6	8
	1.3	5.8	9.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↑ (1.21)	5.2 (5.2)	8.85 ↓ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motagua
71.7%

Draw
17.8%

Choloma
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.1%

17%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Choloma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Motagua - Choloma Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Motagua (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 10th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this match, Motagua enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Motagua has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:3 (averaging 3.3:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Motagua against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:2 goals (averaging 3.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Motagua	8	4	1	3	11:8	3	13
10	Choloma	8	2	1	5	6:8	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
19.09.26	Real España - Motagua	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
16.09.26	Alianza San Miguel - Motagua	0:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
12.09.26	Motagua - Génesis PN	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
09.09.26	Motagua - Alianza San Miguel	3:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
05.09.26	Atlético Independiente - Motagua	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWWT
- CD Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional
18.09.26	Choloma - Estrella Roja de Danlí	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Lobos UPNFM - Choloma	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Choloma - Olancho	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Real España - Choloma	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Choloma - Platense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
26.04.26	Motagua - Choloma	5:1
07.03.26	Choloma - Motagua	1:3
09.11.25	Motagua - Choloma	2:1
10.09.25	Choloma - Motagua	0:3

Motagua - Choloma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide