Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles (Tegucigalpa) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Honduras	17:15	Deportes TV


	Motagua		Choloma

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.60	6.00
	1.16	5.9	10.5
	1.21	5.2	10.14
	1.19	6.8	11.5	Watch
	1.15	6.3	9.95
	1.22	6.5	10.4
	1.18	6.2	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 (1.21)	5.93 ↑ (5.2)	9.93 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Motagua
75.4%

Draw
15.4%

Choloma
9.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73.1%

17%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Choloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Motagua - Choloma Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Motagua (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ortiz L. (G) 26. Crisanto L. 19. De Olivera R. 5. Discua O. 27. Macias J. 36. Marinacci V. 8. Melendez D. (C) 9. Moya J. 23. Reyes A. 34. Sacaza G. 4. Vega L.	24. Pineda J. (C) 11. Alvarado 2. Alvarez K. 10. Canales J. 21. Capeluto J. 23. Castillo H. 9. Ferreira L. 29. Florez E. 14. Madrid C. 18. Quejada J. 19. Zamora O.
Substitutes
14. Barrios A. 21. Batiz J. 3. Cacho P. 61. Diaz F. 24. Garcia J. 10. Gomez R. 15. Hernandez A. 33. Izaguirre E. 35. Melendez C. 30. Miranda J. 80. Oliva D. 17. Portillo J.	20. Arias R. 4. Calderon A. 27. Fajardo A. 34. Herrera E. 8. Nunez Ramirez H. J. 25. Obed Mejia Machado G. 1. Orellana D. (G) 40. Ramirez C. 6. Suazo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Alvarado ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Moya J. ⚽,
18', Quejada J. 🟨,
20', Castillo H. 🟨,
22', Vega L. 🟨,
34', 2 - 1, Moya J. ⚽,
45+2', Alvarez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', De Olivera R. ↓, Batiz J. ↑,
46', Vega L. ↓, Portillo J. ↑,
50', Florez E. ↓, Nunez Ramirez H. J. ↑,
61', Melendez D. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
66', Alvarez K. ↓, Fajardo A. ↑,
66', Marinacci V. ↓, Cacho P. ↑,
70', Madrid C. 🟨,
73', Canales J. 🟨,
79', Reyes A. 🟨,
88', Zamora O. ↓, Arias I. ↑,
90+1', Macias J. 🟨,
90+5', Portillo J. 🟨,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 10th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, Motagua enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Motagua has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:3 (averaging 3.3:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Motagua against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:2 goals (averaging 3.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Motagua	11	7	1	3	17:9	8	22
5	Choloma	11	4	1	6	12:12	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
19.09.26	Real España - Motagua	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
16.09.26	Alianza San Miguel - Motagua	0:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
12.09.26	Motagua - Génesis PN	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
09.09.26	Motagua - Alianza San Miguel	3:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
05.09.26	Atlético Independiente - Motagua	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWWT
- CD Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional
18.09.26	Choloma - Estrella Roja de Danlí	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Lobos UPNFM - Choloma	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Choloma - Olancho	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Real España - Choloma	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Choloma - Platense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
26.04.26	Motagua - Choloma	5:1
07.03.26	Choloma - Motagua	1:3
09.11.25	Motagua - Choloma	2:1
10.09.25	Choloma - Motagua	0:3

Upcoming Matches