Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Winners - Final

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Cacique Diriangén (Diriamba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Mexico	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Uruguay	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Diriangén		Real Estelí

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.8	2.8
	2.45	2.88	2.82	Watch
	2.76	2.51	3.13
	2.81	2.51	3.18	Watch
	2.5	2.88	2.63
	2.71	2.72	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.27)	2.72 ↓ (3.37)	2.94 (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diriangén
35.3%

Draw
33.6%

Real Estelí
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

27.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.2%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diriangén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diriangén's form might have worsened.

Real Estelí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diriangén than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diriangén, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (-1%)

Diriangén - Real Estelí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 0 - 1, ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diriangén won 1.

Diriangén is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Real Estelí has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Diriangén won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Diriangén won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Diriangen	10	8	2	0	22:7	15	26
4	Esteli	10	5	3	2	17:7	10	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diriangén FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
09.05.26	Real Estelí - Diriangén	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Diriangén - Matagalpa	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Matagalpa - Diriangén	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Managua - Diriangén	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Diriangén - Real Madriz	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWLW
- Real Estelí
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
09.05.26	Real Estelí - Diriangén	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Real Estelí - Municipal Jalapa	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Real Estelí - Matagalpa	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Sport Sébaco - Real Estelí	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
09.05.26	Real Estelí - Diriangén	1:1
11.04.26	Diriangén - Real Estelí	1:0
11.02.26	Real Estelí - Diriangén	1:1
25.10.25	Real Estelí - Diriangén	0:0
24.09.25	Diriangén - Real Estelí	1:1
Nicaraguan Copa Primera
15.07.25	Diriangén - Real Estelí	2:1
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
05.04.25	Diriangén - Real Estelí	2:4

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