Match Info

Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday ⏱️ In 8h 23m 📅 Remind Me

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Nicaragua	19:00	Campeones, NicaSports


	Diriangén		Real Estelí

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.20	2.35
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	2.82	3.25	2.38
	2.73	3.37	2.44	Watch
	2.5	3.05	2.3
	2.7	3.29	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.06)	3.21 ↑ (3.15)	2.39 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diriangén
33.8%

Draw
28.3%

Real Estelí
37.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27.9%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

25.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diriangén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diriangén's form might have worsened.

Real Estelí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Estelí's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diriangén than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diriangén, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Estelí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Diriangén - Real Estelí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Semi - finals) and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Quarter - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diriangén won 2.

Diriangén has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Real Estelí has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Diriangén has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:21 (averaging 1.2:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Diriangén against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 16:14 goals (averaging 1.3:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Diriangen	14	11	2	1	31:13	18	35
3	Esteli	14	7	4	3	25:13	12	25

Last Results with these Odds

Real Estelí - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 29.34%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diriangén FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
25.10.26	Diriangén - Sport Sébaco	3:1 ✺
18.10.26	Rancho Santana - Diriangén	0:1 ✺
14.10.26	UNAN Managua - Diriangén	1:3 ✺
10.10.26	Diriangén - Walter Ferretti	2:4 ✺
06.10.26	San Marcos - Diriangén	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLW
- Real Estelí
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
25.10.26	Real Estelí - Managua	2:1 ✺
18.10.26	Walter Ferretti - Real Estelí	3:1 ✺
15.10.26	Real Estelí - Municipal Jalapa	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Matagalpa - Real Estelí	1:4 ✺
07.10.26	UNAN Managua - Real Estelí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
22.08.26	Real Estelí - Diriangén	0:2
16.05.26	Diriangén - Real Estelí	1:2 penalties
09.05.26	Real Estelí - Diriangén	1:1
11.04.26	Diriangén - Real Estelí	1:0
11.02.26	Real Estelí - Diriangén	1:1
25.10.25	Real Estelí - Diriangén	0:0
24.09.25	Diriangén - Real Estelí	1:1

Diriangén - Real Estelí