Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Independencia (Estelí)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Real Estelí		Alianza San Miguel

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.60	5.25
	1.56	3.65	5.00
	1.52	3.78	6.42
	1.64	3.63	5.38
	1.47	3.70	6.30
	1.63	3.57	5.62	Watch
	1.55	3.60	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.7)	3.65 ↑ (3.29)	5.68 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Estelí
58.7%

Draw
25.1%

Alianza San Miguel
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

27.4%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Estelí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Estelí's performance.

Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Real Estelí - Alianza San Miguel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Faust J. (G) 29. Gutierrez J. 19. Martinez E. J. 2. Artola I. 23. Acevedo O. 6. Colombino A. 11. Barrera J. (C) 8. Aranda H. 28. Blanco R. 7. Bonilla B. 21. Casado E.	1. Joya M. (G) 21. Tamacas B. 14. Parra W. 3. Sibrian J. 19. Rodriguez Arias N. A. 10. Menjivar L. 6. Orellana N. (C) 24. Aguirre M. 56. Romero D. 7. Mier M. 11. Portillo J.
Substitutes
13. Baez A. 18. Bello O. 24. Calero A. 9. Castillo E. 22. Cerda E. (G) 17. Downs K. 10. Medina H. 20. Moses L. 27. Quijano J. 25. Salandia C. (G) 12. Talavera W. 15. Toledo J.	18. Barreto J. 17. Castillo F. 15. Flores W. 31. Franco D. (G) 13. Gonzalez M. (G) 41. Guardado Ardon E. R. 9. Gustavo Souza 23. Monteagudo J. 40. Pineda D. 30. Rivas Linares E. A. 16. Romero H.
Coaches
Vazquez D.	Pompei R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Aranda H. ⚽, Blanco R. (A),
22', Artola I. ↓, Calero A. ↑,
29', 2 - 0, Casado E. ⚽, Barrera J. (A),
37', Tamacas B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Portillo J. 🟨,
55', Mier M. ↓, Gustavo Souza ↑,
55', Aguirre M. ↓, Rivas Linares E. A. ↑,
56', Colombino A. 🟨,
61', Acevedo O. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Gustavo Souza ⚽, Rivas Linares E. A. (A),
66', Barrera J. ↓, Quijano J. ↑,
66', Casado E. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
76', Blanco R. ↓, Talavera W. ↑,
76', Colombino A. ↓, Toledo J. ↑,
82', Tamacas B. ↓, Castillo F. ↑,
82', Toledo J. 🟨,
85', Tamacas B. ↓, Monteagudo J. ↑,
88', Bonilla B. ↓, Baez A. ↑,
88', Romero D. ↓, Barreto J. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Gutierrez J. ⚽, Baez A. (A),

Preview

Real Estelí has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Real Estelí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Real Estelí is a strong favorite.

We predict that Real Estelí will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Estelí
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
07.08.26	Real Estelí - Walter Ferretti	4:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
04.08.26	Antigua GFC - Real Estelí	0:2 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
30.07.26	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Real Estelí - Matagalpa	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Real Estelí - UNAN Managua	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWT
- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
08.08.26	Inter Santa Tecla - Alianza San Miguel	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
05.08.26	Alianza San Miguel - Herediano	1:0 ✺
29.07.26	Alianza San Miguel - Antigua GFC	2:1 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
25.07.26	INCA-Aruba - Alianza San Miguel	1:3 ✺
09.05.26	Alianza San Miguel - Águila	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWL

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