Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Real Forte Querceta		Grosseto

	1	X	2
	6.09	3.58	1.51
	6.09	3.58	1.51
	6	3.5	1.44
	6.2	3.65	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.1 ↑ (4.81)	3.58 ↑ (3.39)	1.49 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Forte Querceta
14.7%

Draw
25.1%

Grosseto
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

26.5%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

25.7%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Forte Querceta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Grosseto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grosseto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Forte Querceta than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Real Forte Querceta - Grosseto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).

Real Forte Querceta is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grosseto is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Grosseto is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Forte Querceta
Italian Serie D - Group E
26.11.23	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Real Forte Querceta	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Real Forte Querceta - Montevarchi	3:2 ✺
12.11.23	Orvietana - Real Forte Querceta	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Real Forte Querceta - Pianese	2:3 ✺
01.11.23	San Donato Tavarnelle - Real Forte Querceta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWLLL
- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie D - Group E
26.11.23	Grosseto - Pianese	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Grosseto	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Grosseto - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Trestina - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
01.11.23	Grosseto - Poggibonsi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTWWW

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