Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Jaén		Yeclano Deportivo

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.98	3.5
	2.02	3.38	3.58
	2.02	3.23	3.56	Watch
	2	3.1	3.5
	2.05	3.04	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.82)	3.15 ↑ (3.1)	3.62 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
45.4%

Draw
29.2%

Yeclano Deportivo
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

29.5%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

27.2%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Yeclano Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Jaén, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeclano Deportivo than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yeclano Deportivo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Jaén - Yeclano Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 0, Brene I. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 11).

Jaén has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Yeclano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jaén might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jaén won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.03.26	Linares Deportivo - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Real Jaén - Águilas	3:1 ✺
25.02.26	Xerez Deportivo - Real Jaén	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Melilla - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Real Jaén - Minera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TWWWW
- Yeclano Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.03.26	Yeclano Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Xerez CD - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Yeclano Deportivo - La Unión	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Recreativo Huelva - Yeclano Deportivo	5:1 ✺
08.02.26	Yeclano Deportivo - Minera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.12.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Real Jaén	2:0

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