Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday


	Real Jaén		Atlético Central

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.67	6.85
				Watch
	1.62	3.7	4.6
	1.63	3.7	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)	3.69 ↑ (3.5)	5.42 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
58.1%

Draw
24.9%

Atlético Central
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.9%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

28.1%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Atlético Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Real Jaén aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Central than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Real Jaén - Atlético Central Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Haro P. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Segura J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, Alonso A. ⚽,
73', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

Recent performances by Jaén have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Central is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Jaén is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jaén won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.06.25	Atlético Central - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.06.25	Real Jaén - Torre Del Mar	3:0 ✺
01.06.25	Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Real Jaén - Huétor Tájar	1:1 ET ✺
18.05.25	Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLLT
- Club Atlético Central
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.06.25	Atlético Central - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
08.06.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Atlético Central	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Atlético Central - Ciudad de Lucena	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Utrera - Atlético Central	1:1 ET ✺
18.05.25	Atlético Central - Utrera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.06.25	Atlético Central - Real Jaén	0:1

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