Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League Women - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 17 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid)

Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil, Max
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN, HBO Max
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Real Madrid		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.75	1.95
	3.1	3.7	2
	3.1	3.75	1.95
	3.41	3.88	2
	3.36	3.88	1.96	Watch
	2.88	3.8	1.95
	3.28	3.78	1.95
	3.1	3.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.97)	3.79 ↑ (3.57)	1.96 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
29%

Draw
24.2%

Chelsea
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

25.5%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

25%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Real Madrid - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Real Madrid will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Chelsea will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Misa (G) 15. Garcia S. 23. Lakrar M. 14. Mendez M. 7. Carmona O. (C) 21. Angeldal F. 6. Toletti S. 24. Leupolz M. 10. Weir C. 9. Bruun S. 18. Caicedo L.	24. Hampton H. (G) 22. Bronze L. 14. Bjorn N. 4. Bright M. (C) 21. Charles N. 8. Cuthbert E. 6. Nusken S. 33. Beever-Jones A. 18. Kaptein W. 11. Reiten G. 7. Ramirez M.
Substitutes
3. Abelleira T. 5. Antonia 17. Camacho C. 13. Chavas M. (G) 22. del Castillo A. 20. Feller N. 2. Hernandez O. 26. Lopez L. (G) 16. Moller C. 19. Navarro E. 11. Redondo A.	17. Baltimore S. 16. Bartel J. 53. Brown L. 40. Cox K. (G) 23. Hamano M. 27. Jean-Francois O. 12. Lawrence A. 9. Macario C. 1. Musovic Z. (G) 15. Perisset E.
Coaches
Toril A.	Bompastor S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Weir C. ⚽, Caicedo L. (A),
40', Reiten G. ↓, Hamano M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ramirez M. ↓, Macario C. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Macario C. (Pen),
56', 1 - 2, Macario C. (Pen),
60', Caicedo L. ↓, Feller N. ↑,
60', Bruun S. ↓, Redondo A. ↑,
61', Cuthbert E. 🟨,
71', Nusken S. ↓, Lawrence A. ↑,
71', Charles N. ↓, Baltimore S. ↑,
73', Toletti S. ↓, del Castillo A. ↑,
83', Baltimore S. 🟨,

Preview

Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League Women (Play Offs )

Chelsea is Qualified for Champions League Women (Play Offs )

Real Madrid is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chelsea is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Chelsea have a series of home games.

Chelsea will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Madrid won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1.2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Women
Spanish Liga F Women
14.12.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Madrid	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
11.12.24	Celtic - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
07.12.24	Real Madrid - Sevilla	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
20.11.24	Twente - Real Madrid	2:3 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
16.11.24	Real Madrid - Barcelona	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWWL
- Chelsea LFC
English WSL
14.12.24	Leicester City - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
11.12.24	Chelsea - Twente	6:1 ✺
English WSL
08.12.24	Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:2 ✺
24.11.24	Chelsea - Manchester United	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
20.11.24	Chelsea - Celtic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
08.10.24	Chelsea - Real Madrid	3:2
24.01.24	Chelsea - Real Madrid	2:1
15.11.23	Real Madrid - Chelsea	2:2
08.12.22	Real Madrid - Chelsea	1:1
23.11.22	Chelsea - Real Madrid	2:0

Real Madrid - Chelsea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide