Real Madrid - Espanyol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 5
  • Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday
  • Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabรฉu (Madrid)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Real Madrid Espanyol
    Real Madrid Espanyol
    1 X 2
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    betsson 1.21 6.9 12.5 Watch and Bet Watch
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.2
    (1.24)
    7.45
    (6.4)
    14.76
    (12.3)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

    • The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Real Madrid
    80.6%
    Draw
    12.9%
    Espanyol
    6.5%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    77.3% 14.9% 7.8%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    92.9% 3.6% 3.6%
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    Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) ๐Ÿฅ‰ Bronze Tip.
    • AH +3.5 - Espanyol (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Real (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Real (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Real (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) ๐Ÿฅ‰ Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (50 of 54 users predict this - 92.59%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.6% โ€“ 99.58%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (23 of 23 users predict this - 100%) ๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Real (votes: 27 - 96.4%). Espanyol (votes: 1 - 3.6%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. BelgiumCourtois T. (G)
      2. SpainCarvajal D. (C)
    17. SpainAsencio R.
      3. BrazilEder Militao
    18. SpainCarreras A.
    30. ArgentinaMastantuono F.
      8. UruguayValverde F.
    14. FranceTchouameni A.
      7. BrazilVinicius Junior
    16. SpainGarcia G.
    10. FranceMbappe K.
    13. SerbiaDmitrovic M. (G)
    23. MoroccoEl Hilali O.
      5. SpainCalero F.
      6. UruguayCabrera L.
    22. SpainRomero C.
    24. EnglandDolan T.
      4. SpainGonzalez U.
    10. SpainLozano P.
      7. SpainPuado J. (C)
      9. SpainFernandez Jaen R.
      8. SpainExposito
    Substitutes
      4. AustriaAlaba D.
      5. EnglandBellingham J.
      6. FranceCamavinga E.
    19. SpainCeballos D.
    21. MoroccoDiaz B.
      9. BrazilEndrick
    20. SpainGarcia F.
    15. TurkeyGuler A.
    35. SpainJimenez D.
    13. UkraineLunin A. (G)
    43. SpainMestre S. (G)
    11. BrazilRodrygo
      1. SpainFortuno A. (G)
    19. SpainGarcia K.
    27. SpainHernandez J.
    17. SpainJofre
    16. ItalyKoleosho L.
    18. DRPickel C.
    38. GermanyRiedel C.
    20. SpainRoca A.
    15. SpainRubio M.
    12. SpainSalinas J.
      2. SpainSanchez R.
    14. SpainTerrats R.
    Coaches
         SpainAlonso X.
         SpainGonzalez M.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 22', 1 - 0, Eder Militao , Valverde F. (A),
    • 37', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 47', 2 - 0, Mbappe K. , Vinicius Junior (A),
    • 60', Garcia G. , Guler A. ,
    • 63', Exposito , Koleosho L. ,
    • 63', Lozano P. , Jofre ,
    • 63', Dolan T. , Pickel C. ,
    • 75', Mastantuono F. 🟨,
    • 77', Vinicius Junior , Rodrygo ,
    • 77', Mastantuono F. , Diaz B. ,
    • 77', Puado J. , Garcia K. ,
    • 84', Fernandez Jaen R. , Roca A. ,
    • 89', Mbappe K. , Bellingham J. ,
    • 89', Tchouameni A. , Camavinga E. ,

    Preview

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 4.
  • Real has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • Espanyol is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 3).
  • Espanyol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Real is the clear favorite.
  • There will not play in Real: Alexander-Arnold T. (Hamstring Injury) Huijsen D. (Red Card) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rudiger A. (Thigh Injury)
  • There will not play in Espanyol: Milla P. (Red Card)
  • There are questionable in Espanyol: Hernandez J. (Foot Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 52:11. (average 2.6:0.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Real won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 31:3. (average 2.8:0.3).
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    Last Results with these Odds

    Real Madrid - the odds 1.24 are the expected chance of winning is 77.29%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Real Madrid
    UEFA Champions League
    16.09.25 Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille 2:1
    Spanish LaLiga
    13.09.25 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 1:2
    30.08.25 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1
    24.08.25 Real Oviedo - Real Madrid 0:3
    19.08.25 Real Madrid - Osasuna 1:0
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9
    WWWWW
    - RCD Espanyol
    Spanish LaLiga
    15.09.25 Espanyol - Mallorca 3:2
    31.08.25 Espanyol - Osasuna 1:0
    24.08.25 Real Sociedad - Espanyol 2:2
    17.08.25 Espanyol - Atlรฉtico Madrid 2:1
    Club Friendly
    08.08.25 Newcastle United - Espanyol 2:2
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.2
    WWTWT
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    01.02.25 Espanyol - Real Madrid 1:0
    21.09.24 Real Madrid - Espanyol 4:1
    11.03.23 Real Madrid - Espanyol 3:1
    28.08.22 Espanyol - Real Madrid 1:3
    30.04.22 Real Madrid - Espanyol 4:0
    03.10.21 Espanyol - Real Madrid 2:1
    28.06.20 Espanyol - Real Madrid 0:1
    Upcoming Matches
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Real Madrid
    Spanish LaLiga
    12.09.26 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano
    UEFA Champions League
    08.09.26 Real Madrid - Inter Milan
    - RCD Espanyol
    Spanish LaLiga
    12.09.26 Osasuna - Espanyol