What is the expert prediction for Real Oviedo vs Real Madrid?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Real Oviedo vs Real Madrid. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Real Oviedo vs Real Madrid Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, August 24, 2025)

Match Info

LaLiga - Round 2

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Solh Sports 1
Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 2
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5, Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Iran	IRIB TV3
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2, Varzish Sport
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22


	Real Oviedo		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	8.5	5	1.33	Watch
	9.75	5.25	1.31
	9.8	5.4	1.31	Watch
	9.86	5.33	1.34
	11.29	5.20	1.28	Watch
	9.5	5	1.3
	9.5	5.31	1.36	Watch
	8.5	5	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.59 ↑ (8.5)	5.19 ↑ (5)	1.32 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
9.9%

Draw
18.3%

Real Madrid
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.2%

19%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.7%	6.2%	90.1%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 3 - 3.7%). Real will win (votes: 73 - 90.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 83.6% – 96.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1.75 - Oviedo (1.66) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +1.5 - Real (1.95) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Oviedo (2.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 - Real (6.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (39 of 43 users predict this - 90.7%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 54 high ROI users predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 9 - 16.7%). Real (votes: 42 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 5.6%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 15. Luengo O. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. (C) 3. Alhassane R. 6. Sibo K. 22. Vidal N. 21. Ilic L. 20. Dendoncker L. 7. Chaira I. 23. Rondon S.	1. Courtois T. (G) 2. Carvajal D. (C) 22. Rudiger A. 24. Huijsen D. 18. Carreras A. 30. Mastantuono F. 8. Valverde F. 14. Tchouameni A. 11. Rodrygo 15. Guler A. 10. Mbappe K.
Substitutes
2. Bailly E. 18. Brekalo J. 8. Cazorla S. 11. Colombatto S. 14. Ejaria O. 29. Falah O. 19. Fores A. 28. Gueye L. 10. Hassan H. 30. Marco Esteban 1. Moldovan H. (G) 9. Vinas F.	4. Alaba D. 12. Alexander-Arnold T. 17. Asencio R. 19. Ceballos D. 21. Diaz B. 3. Eder Militao 20. Garcia F. 16. Garcia G. 13. Lunin A. (G) 43. Mestre S. (G) 45. Pitarch Pinar T. 7. Vinicius Junior
Coaches
Paunovic V.	Alonso X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Mbappe K. ⚽, Guler A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Luengo O. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
63', Rodrygo ↓, Vinicius Junior ↑,
63', Mastantuono F. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
66', Ilic L. 🟨,
72', Calvo D. 🟨,
72', Ilic L. ↓, Ejaria O. ↑,
72', Rondon S. ↓, Vinas F. ↑,
74', Guler A. ↓, Garcia G. ↑,
79', Chaira I. ↓, Brekalo J. ↑,
80', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
83', 0 - 2, Mbappe K. ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
87', Carvajal D. ↓, Alexander-Arnold T. ↑,
87', Mbappe K. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
90', Dendoncker L. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 3, Vinicius Junior ⚽, Diaz B. (A),

Preview

Real is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Real may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Oviedo: Lemos A. (Knee Injury) Reina A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Real: Bellingham J. (Shoulder Injury) Endrick (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Oviedo: Ahijado L. (Muscle Injury) Colombatto S. (Injury) Domingues B. (Illness) Ejaria O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Real: Camavinga E. (Ankle Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oviedo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, Oviedo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
15.08.25	Villarreal - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Leganés - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Real Oviedo - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Getafe - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
21.06.25	Real Oviedo - Mirandés	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWTW
- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
19.08.25	Real Madrid - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.25	Swarovski Tirol - Real Madrid	0:4 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
09.07.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid	4:0 ✺
05.07.25	Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund	3:2 ✺
01.07.25	Real Madrid - Juventus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.07.12	Real Oviedo - Real Madrid	N/A

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